IBKR/USDT on KCEX: Interactive Brokers stock perp closes the week on its 24h low, review and a short bias

IBKR/USDT, the Interactive Brokers stock perpetual on KCEX, ended Friday's cash session on its 24h low. Data is from the KCEX contract API and live page at about 4:04 PM ET.
Who Interactive Brokers are
Interactive Brokers is a US electronic broker used by active traders and institutions in many countries, and it earns from commissions and interest on client balances. The perp follows the US-listed share price through an index, has no expiry and settles in USDT, so it trades around the clock with crypto margin.
Contract terms on KCEX
- Max leverage 25x, contract size 0.01 IBKR
- Fees 0% maker, 0.01% taker
- Funding every 8 hours, capped at +/-2%
Order book and price action
- Last 80.26, index 80.28, fair price 80.26, down 1.61% on the day
- 24h range 80.26 to 83.28, so price is printing the low
- Funding 0.0000%
- 24h turnover about 73.0K USDT, open interest only about 14 USDT
- Hourly closes held 82.1-82.8 until the afternoon, then stepped down: 81.22, 81.59, 81.24, 80.96, 80.45, 80.26
Trade idea: fade bounces (low conviction)
Closing on the low after a steady afternoon decline is weak structure. A short idea is invalidated by an hourly close back above 81.60, the last lower high. Below 80.26 there is no nearby reference on this chart.
Risks to watch
The cash market is shut until Monday, so weekend trading runs on very thin flow and can gap at the open. Open interest is almost zero, so the book can be pushed around easily. Limit orders, isolated margin and small size.
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